Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size Set to Reach USD 3,581.0 Million by 2030, Driven by Decarbonization and Global Airline Commitments | by DataM Intelligence
AUSTIN, Texas and TOKYO, Oct. 13, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market is entering a high-growth phase as the aviation industry accelerates its shift toward low-carbon fuels. According to DataM Intelligence, the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size reached USD 586.4 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 4,841.5 million by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 35.2% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
Governments, airlines, fuel producers, and technology companies are aligning with aggressive net-zero targets, making sustainable aviation fuel a central pillar in global aviation sustainability strategies.
Market Dynamics & Growth Drivers
Decarbonization Pressure:
Aviation contributes approximately 2–3% of global CO₂ emissions. With international climate goals and regulatory mandates strengthening, SAF is the most viable near-term solution to reduce aviation emissions without replacing existing aircraft or infrastructure.
Airline Commitments & Corporate ESG Goals:
Major carriers are signing long-term SAF offtake agreements to meet sustainability goals. Corporate travel programs and business aviation are also integrating SAF to support ESG commitments.
Technological Advancements:
Multiple SAF pathways-including HEFA, alcohol-to-jet, Fischer–Tropsch (FT), and synthetic fuels-are advancing with improved efficiency, lower costs, and scalable production capabilities.
Government Incentives & Mandates:
Financial incentives, tax credits, and blending mandates in the U.S., Europe, and Asia-Pacific are accelerating commercialization and investment in SAF refineries.
Energy Security & Diversification:
SAF production from waste, biomass, CO₂, and hydrogen enhances supply chain resilience and reduces dependency on fossil jet fuel sources.
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Market Segmentation
By Type
In 2024, biofuel-based SAF dominated the market due to commercially mature pathways such as HEFA (Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids) and Alcohol-to-Jet technologies. These fuels are already certified and widely used in scheduled commercial flights. Biofuel SAF accounted for the largest share as it leverages abundant biomass, waste oils, and agricultural residues.
Hydrogen fuel is an emerging high-growth segment, positioned as a zero-emission solution for long-term aviation sustainability. While hydrogen-powered aircraft require new platforms and infrastructure, investment and R&D efforts are increasing, especially in Japan, Europe, and the U.S. as part of hydrogen economy strategies.
Power-to-Liquid (PtL) fuels, also known as synthetic or e-fuels, represent a next-generation segment that uses captured CO₂ and green hydrogen to produce drop-in jet fuel. PtL fuels are gaining attention for their ability to decarbonize long-haul flights and reduce lifecycle emissions by over 90%, though production costs remain high today.
Gas-to-Liquid (GTL) fuels are commercially established and compatible with existing aircraft, offering a transitional option with cleaner combustion. GTL SAF adoption is growing where natural gas resources and carbon capture technologies are available, particularly in regions focused on synthetic fuel pathways.
By Aircraft Type
Fixed wing aircraft accounted for the majority of SAF demand in 2024, driven by commercial airlines, cargo carriers, and military jets. Long-haul and high-fuel-consumption aircraft have the highest decarbonization urgency, making SAF pivotal for international aviation.
Rotary wing aircraft, including helicopters and air ambulances, represent a smaller but growing segment. SAF adoption in rotary platforms is supported by search-and-rescue operations, offshore services, and defense programs prioritizing low-emission missions. As rotorcraft OEMs certify SAF compatibility, usage is expected to increase steadily.
By Platform
In 2024, commercial aviation dominated the SAF market, driven by large-scale airline commitments, increasing passenger volumes, and international sustainability mandates. Commercial carriers are integrating SAF blend targets in fuel procurement strategies, supported by partnerships with fuel producers.
Military aviation is emerging as a major growth driver as defense agencies invest in SAF to improve energy security and reduce operational emissions. Military contracts often support early-stage SAF commercialization and scale-up of domestic production.
Business aviation is adopting SAF as a premium, ESG-driven solution to reduce executive travel emissions. Leading private jet operators and FBOs are offering SAF at major hubs to attract sustainability-conscious clients.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) represent a niche but high-potential segment. As long-range cargo drones and surveillance UAVs scale, SAF can serve as a low-carbon alternative for missions where battery-electric power is insufficient.
Regional Insights: United States & Japan
United States
The U.S. is the global leader in SAF deployment and production capacity. With strong airline commitments, government incentives, and rapid infrastructure investment, the U.S. SAF market is expected to hold the largest revenue share through 2030. The government has set aggressive production targets, while tax incentives under recent legislation have significantly increased the profitability of SAF projects.
In the last three months, U.S. airlines expanded multi-year offtake agreements with fuel producers, and new SAF production facilities were announced in multiple states. Major aerospace OEMs are testing 100% SAF capabilities to fast-track industry-wide adoption. Several mergers and partnerships between energy companies and SAF technology developers were finalized to secure feedstock supply and accelerate commercialization.
Japan
Japan is rapidly positioning itself as a major SAF adopter in Asia. The government has set clear targets to replace a significant share of jet fuel with SAF by 2030, driving local production and import partnerships. Japan's aviation and energy companies are collaborating with global SAF producers to develop domestic refining capabilities based on biomass, waste, and synthetic fuel technologies.
In the past three months, Japanese airlines completed successful SAF-powered international flights and signed new procurement agreements. Construction of regional SAF facilities and research partnerships with global technology companies were announced. Japan's focus on hydrogen and synthetic fuels is fueling innovation and long-term competitiveness in the Asia-Pacific SAF landscape.
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Competitive Landscape & Strategic Moves
Neste remains the global leader in SAF production, supported by large refining capacity expansions in Europe, Asia, and North America. The company has secured long-term supply agreements with major airlines and fuel distributors, reinforcing its dominant market position. Neste continues to invest in advanced feedstock technologies and scalable distribution networks.
Fulcrum BioEnergy specializes in converting municipal solid waste into SAF, providing a circular economy solution. The company has attracted major airline partnerships and government support to build commercial-scale facilities, reducing landfill waste while producing cost-competitive fuels.
LanzaTech and its affiliate LanzaJet are pioneering gas fermentation and alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) technologies. By converting industrial emissions and ethanol into SAF, the company is expanding decarbonization opportunities across sectors. Recent commercial plant launches and strategic alliances with airlines and energy companies are accelerating its global growth.
TotalEnergies is integrating SAF production into its global refining operations, leveraging existing infrastructure. The company is scaling HEFA-based fuels and investing in synthetic fuel projects. TotalEnergies is working directly with airlines, airports, and governments to build end-to-end SAF supply chains and meet international blending mandates.
Gevo, another key player, is advancing renewable alcohol-to-jet fuel development and carbon-negative fuel solutions. Gevo's partnerships with energy companies and investors are enabling large-scale plant construction and global distribution strategies.
2025 Trends & Highlights
SAF production capacity is scaling rapidly as multiple commercial plants enter operation. Airlines are integrating SAF into long-term procurement and sustainability roadmaps, while OEMs certify engines for 100% SAF usage. Governments are mandating minimum SAF blending rates, and carbon pricing policies are improving cost competitiveness. New technologies-such as synthetic e-fuels, hydrogen-derived fuels, and advanced waste conversion-are entering pilot and commercial phases. Strategic mergers, feedstock agreements, and refinery conversions highlight the market's transition from niche to essential.
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Strategic Outlook
As the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market grows from USD 320.8 million in 2022 to USD 3,581.0 million by 2030, success will depend on:
Technology diversification: Companies must invest in multiple SAF pathways, including bio-based, synthetic, and hydrogen-derived fuels.
Feedstock security: Long-term access to waste, biomass, captured CO₂, and renewable energy is vital to scale production.
Global collaboration: Airlines, fuel producers, governments, and aerospace OEMs must align to build a sustainable value chain.
Infrastructure investment: Refinery conversions, blending facilities, and logistics hubs are essential to reach commercial scale.
Policy and financial support: Blending mandates, tax credits, and carbon accounting frameworks will accelerate adoption.
Conclusion
The Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market is transitioning from early-stage deployment to large-scale commercialization. The market's growth trajectory-from USD 320.8 million in 2022 to USD 3,581.0 million by 2030-reflects aviation's urgent shift toward cleaner energy and long-term climate alignment.
With the United States leading global adoption through large-scale SAF procurement and Japan pioneering advanced synthetic and hydrogen-based fuel strategies in Asia, the market is set for extraordinary expansion. Key players such as Neste, Fulcrum BioEnergy, LanzaTech, TotalEnergies, and Gevo are shaping the future of aviation energy through innovation, partnerships, and infrastructure development.
Related Report:
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